Episode 6 "What Happened on Exile, Stays on Exile" Preview

Sandra goes home for the first time ever, and my suspicion is this is the last episode before the merge based on Sierra's Legacy Idol being able to be used at 13.

There are hints that Ozzy is now a target after Tai brought his name up, but I think Mana will be the one at Tribal.  Troyzan has an Idol, and Tai has two, so things could get interesting if they are not played this time.

Varner is the only one left on Nuku from the original Mana, but original Mana has a 4-3 advantage on the 3rd Mana tribe, which is significant if Mana goes to tribal.

 Four Men and two women have been booted, so the trend is to take big players out, which makes Ozzy and Brad susceptible to boots.

Oh, yeah, the reward is Pizza, and lots of it.

Already Gone
20. Ciera (14)     14/20 60%
19. Tony (19)      33/39 85%
18. Caleb (15)    48/57 84%
17. Malcolm (2) 50/74 68%
16. J.T. (15)        65/89 73%
15. Sandra (15)  80/105 76%

Total:  80

 14. Brad (12) --I think the signs are pointing to him going soon.  He's my top vote on Mana.
13. Ozzy (5)--Ozzy jumps to the top of the target list, but it may be another red herring.
12. Jeff (6)--Jeff is clueless and it would not surprise me if Nuku takes the easy way out.
11. Cirie (10)--Cirie is still non-existant, and I think she goes soon.
10. Andrea (9)--Andrea is another who is not doing much.  I don't see her going deep.
9. Michaela (14)--Michaela won't keep her mouth shut and could come from nowhere to be booted.
8. Aubry (7)--Aubry will be relieved to see Sandra go, and should be smart enough to move the vote away from her and any alliance she has on Mana.
7. Debbie (13)--Debbie's has new hope after the Exile experience.  Would not be surprised to see her go, but don't think it's this week.  Will probably play the double vote well. 
6. Hali (11)-- Hali is still with Brad which may help her and away from Debbie which will definitely help her.
5. Troyzan(8)--Troyzan has an idol, but will only need it if the women gang up on him, but Brad is more likely the target.
4. Tai (4)--Tai has two Idols.  How will he play them?
3. Sierra(3)--Surprise Target in the 3rd episode, could come out of nowhere to lose.  Has not discussed passing on the Legacy at all, so may stay.
2. Sarah (2) --Sarah may be a surprise boot, but I'm sticking with her here.
1. Zeke--(1)  Zeke likely will not win the game, but he is still under the radar and is playing the game well.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Survivor 44--Final Seven

Although I am enjoying the cast of Survivor 44, I can't say I'm enjoying the season.  In the opening episode, a blunt force head trauma at 8:20 into the episode eliminating one promising character on Tika--Bruce and a rock climbing injury at 41:30, that had a lingering effect on Matthew on Ratu led to the first immunity challenge requiring the ridiculous strength of  six people being played with five and eventually four on Ratu as Brandon who had performed the Sweat challenge with Matthew who had to sit out the challenge because of his arm. Ratu unsurprisingly lost the challenge, and Soka at full strength won, which led to the first of four straight women being voted off, prior to the merge.  Matthew and Bruce were the only men to leave before going to the combined beach.   The abundance of advantages/losses, idols and fake advantages were overdone this season, and the tribe "swap" was too fixed. In the first journey, Matt, Lauren, and Sara all had to risk a vot...
Read more

37--R13--Redemption Island

Rank: Returnee #13 Season # 22 Title:  Survivor: Redemption Island Location: San Juan Del Sur, Nicaragua Broadcast: Spring, 2011 New Players:  16 Returning Players: 2 Rob Mariano and Russell Hantz Winner:  Rob Mariano Final Tribal Council:  3 Players 9 Jury Initial Tribes: Ometepe and Zapatera Merge: at 12 Murlonio Jury: at 12 Loser of Duel 7 on Redemption Island Premise:  Players voted out would not leave the game and would have a second chance at "Redemption" through a series of Duels on Redemption Island Players returned at the Merge (Matt Elrod) and with 4 remaining Players on Day 37 (Andrea Boehlke) The Redemption Island idea was used in foreign versions of Survivor prior to coming to the US version, and seemed benign enough.  It might have worked better had it been all new players than with two returning players with a feud to settle.  Rob Mariano and Russell Hantz faced off and challenged each other at the Season 20 Heroes vs. Villa...
Read more

Episode 4 "Dirty Deed" Preview

One postscript from last week's episode.  The end result was not  unlike the rock draw in other seasons and someone deserving to stay, like Jessica last season was lost from the game.    As painful as it was to watch Malcolm leave, it's part of the game.  If J.T. hadn't done what he did, then perhaps it would have been Sierra that left the game. Tonight, Debbie appears to go berserk and get crazy with Brad and Tai, which usually means she stays.  After the twists of the first three weeks, who knows what this week's twist will be and how it will affect the game. So rather than guessing what's going to happen, let's get right to the rankings.  Awful week as my #2 left the game because of the extra twist. 20. Ciera (14) 19. Tony (19)  18. Caleb (15) 17. Malcolm (2) Total:  50 16. Hali (17)-- Still think Hali is at risk unless the women go against Brad or Tai.  Mana has been to every tribal so far, why not this week.  Not s...
Read more